A tree augmented naive Bayesian network experiment for breast cancer prediction

In order to investigate the breast cancer prediction problem on the aging population with the grades of DCIS, we conduct a tree augmented naive Bayesian network experiment trained and tested on a large clinical dataset including consecutive diagnostic mammography examinations, consequent biopsy outcomes and related cancer registry records in the population of women across all ages. Our tasks are to classify the conventional “Benign vs. Malignant” and the new “Benign/LG vs. IntG/HG/Invasive” based on mammography examination features and patient demographic information, specifically to predict the probability of malignancy, for the biopsy threshold setting and the biopsy decision making. The aggregated results of our ten-fold cross validation method recommend a biopsy threshold higher than 2% for the aging population. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curves and the Precision-Recall curves by aggregating the ten-fold cross validation results are interesting.